AH September 2025

News

08

www.asianhospitality.com

September 2025 | Issue 24

ommercial mortgage backed

securities continue to see higher

delinquency rates despite some

recovery after the COVID pandemic,

with different hotel segments facing

different challenges, according to a

report by Trepp data and analytics firm.

The report also found that a decline

in capital expenditures is leading to

devaluation of hotel assets.

In 2020, delinquencies for lodging

sector CMBS spiked at 19.78 percent, up

from 1.51 percent a year before. Trepp’s

report breaks down that overall trend

and the post COVID recovery according

to their impact on the limited-

service, full-service and extended stay

segments.

Fighting deterioration

The Trepp report said investors

have grown concerned about a

decline in CapEx since the pandemic,

particularly in the limited-service hotel

segment. The result has been visible

deterioration in asset quality, meaning

many properties may be underinvesting

in upkeep, renovations and necessary

upgrades.

“Before the pandemic, the majority

of properties were spending within

a relatively healthy range of $750 to

$2,000 per key, with just 8 to 9 percent

falling below the $750 threshold

annually,” the report said. “High

spenders (more than $2,000 per key)

represented a modest but steady share,

ranging between 10 to 12 percent from

2017 to 2019.”

That CapEx investment stopped in

2020 and the share of properties with

CapEx below $750 per key jumped to 54

percent. Only 3 percent of properties

were spending more than $2,000 per

key on improvements as the pandemic

led hotel owners to defer capital

projects.

“Post-2020, one might have expected

a meaningful rebound in spending – a

‘catch-up’ period to address deferred

maintenance and bring assets back up

to brand or investor standards. But the

data suggest otherwise,” the report

said.

By 2024, the share of properties

spending less than $750 per key on

CapEx dropped to 6 percent. Trepp

said 13 to 16 percent were in the high-

spending range, roughly the same as

pre-pandemic levels.

“The middle tier ($750-$2,000 per

key) has absorbed the shift, maintaining

a roughly 77 to 78 percent share since

2021, suggesting that owners are

opting for moderate upgrades, but

not investing aggressively enough to

reverse the cumulative effects of 2020's

pause,” the report said.

Not in the clear yet

Despite some signs of recovery in lower

delinquency rates for full-service and

extended-stay hotels, the fact that the

rates remain high for limited-service

properties, combined with reduced

CapEx spending, mean the market is

recovering unevenly, Trepp’s report

said. The limited-service segment in

particular remains at risk for functional

obsolescence and brand erosion.

“As investors and lenders assess

lodging-backed CMBS exposure in

the current market environment,

headline delinquency rates should

be interpreted with caution,” the

report said. “Beneath the surface,

capital health and reinvestment trends

may offer a more accurate lens into

long-term asset viability. If capital

discipline does not return to pre-

pandemic norms, the sector could face

another wave of stress – one driven

not by occupancy or cash flow, but by

deteriorating physical infrastructure

and declining borrower resilience.”

Report: CMBS delinquency,

CapEx dip slowing recovery

Limited-service hotels are at particular risk if trend continues

Higher delinquency rates for commercial mortgage backed securities and a dip in CapEx spending

are slowing the recovery, according to a report by Trepp data and analytics firm.